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Data Center Deal Sizer · Capital Markets Tool

Data Center Deal Sizer: Live Capital Stack & Stabilized Debt Sizing

Enter your MW capacity, tenant profile, CapEx-per-MW, and lease term. Outputs in real time: stabilized NOI, cap rate, max senior debt at 1.30x DSCR (mini-perm), max CMBS SASB at stabilization, mezz tranche, and required sponsor / JV equity.

Default assumptions calibrated to April 2026 hyperscaler lease comps ($20.8K–$22K per MW per month) and $11.3M/MW shell-and-core construction benchmark. Adjust for your specific deal.

Last updated: ·By Ed Freeman, Capital Advisor — PeerSense

Deal Inputs

Microsoft, AWS, Google, Meta, Oracle (10–15 yr take-or-pay leases)

5 MW300 MW
$8M (powered shell)$30M (full turnkey)

April 2026 global average shell-and-core: ~$11.3M/MW (up from $7.7M/MW in 2020).

NNN data center leases: 5–8% opex. Powered shell or partial gross: 8–14%.

Project Summary

Total CapEx
$575.0M
Land
$15.0M
Total Project Cost
$590.0M
Annual NOI
$11.5M
Stabilized Cap Rate
1.96%

Capital Stack

Senior Construction → Mini-Perm$102.3M
17.3% of stack · Rate: 7.25%

Sized to lower of 65% LTC or 1.3x stabilized DSCR. 25-yr amort.

Mezzanine / Sub Debt$88.5M
15.0% of stack · Rate: 10.50%

Subordinated debt fills capital stack gap above senior LTV. Cash-pay + PIK options.

Sponsor / JV Equity$399.2M
67.7% of stack · Rate:

JV preferred equity 11–14% pref likely needed

Alternative permanent take-out (CMBS SASB at stabilization): Maximum loan ≈ $110.0M (18.64% LTV) at 7.50%, 1.25x DSCR, 30-yr amort.

Indicative sizing only. Actual rate and LTV depend on tenant credit, construction risk, sponsor balance sheet, power-purchase agreement durability, and market spreads at rate lock. Rate ranges shown reflect approximate April 2026 private credit and CMBS conduit pricing. Contact PeerSense for a deal-specific term sheet.

How the Deal Sizer Works

1. Revenue from Tenant + MW

Annual revenue = monthly rent per MW × 12 × MW capacity × stabilized occupancy. Hyperscaler IG-rated leases (Microsoft, AWS, Google, Meta, Oracle) trade at ~$20.8–22K per MW per month on 10–15 year take-or-pay terms. Enterprise/colocation: $15–18K per MW per month. AI infrastructure (GPU-anchored): $22–28K per MW per month with wider spreads to reflect newer asset class.

2. NOI from Operating Expenses

NOI = Gross Revenue − Operating Expenses. NNN data center leases pass through power, cooling, taxes, insurance, and maintenance to tenant; landlord opex stays low (5–8%). Powered-shell or partial-gross structures retain some opex with the landlord (8–14%). Underwrite to the lease structure your tenant signs.

3. Senior Debt Sized to 1.30x DSCR

Senior debt is the lower of (a) 55–65% LTC depending on tenant credit, or (b) the loan amount where stabilized NOI ÷ debt service equals 1.30x (1.35x for enterprise, 1.40x for AI infra). Senior is structured as a construction-to-mini-perm at 7.25%–8.25%, 25-year amortization.

4. Mezzanine Fills the Stack Gap

Subordinated debt at 10.5%–13% closes the gap between senior LTV and the 70–80% combined LTV you need to make sponsor equity efficient. Cash-pay or PIK during construction; cash-pay at stabilization. JV preferred equity is the alternative if the deal needs deeper subordination.

5. CMBS SASB at Stabilization

Once the data center is leased and operating at stabilized DSCR, the bridge/mini-perm exits into CMBS SASB (Single-Asset Single-Borrower) at 7.50%–9.00% non-recourse 10-year fixed. Recent 2026 issuance: Switch ($768M, April), Yondr ($532M Green ABS, February), Vantage, Aligned. CMBS sized to 1.25x DSCR, 30-year amort.

6. Sponsor / JV Equity

Whatever's left after senior + mezz. If equity exceeds 30% of total project cost, JV preferred equity (11–14% pref) is typically introduced to optimize sponsor returns. Co-GP and minority partner structures are common for AI infrastructure deals.

Why a Data Center Deal Sizer Matters

Data center capital stacks are uniquely complex — construction loans, mini-perms, mezzanine, JV preferred equity, CMBS SASB, ABS — and the sizing depends sensitively on tenant credit, lease term, CapEx-per-MW, and stabilized DSCR. Most general commercial real estate calculators ignore data centers entirely; the few that mention them treat them as plain industrial.

This tool uses the same sizing assumptions PeerSense's capital advisory team applies when structuring real data center transactions: tenant-credit-tier-driven senior LTV/rate, 1.25x–1.40x DSCR floors calibrated to tenant profile, CMBS SASB take-out at stabilization, and JV preferred equity sizing when sponsor equity exceeds 30%.

Adjust inputs to model your specific deal — then talk to our capital advisory team for a deal-specific term sheet, lender shortlist, and bridge-to-perm execution plan.

What Data Center Sponsors Say

Live reviews from our verified Google Business Profile

Sources & References

Data Center Capital Markets Sources (April 2026)

  1. Foley & Lardner — Financing the Data Center Boom (April 2026)Capital structures, leverage ratios, and project finance trends in U.S. data center development.
  2. Foley 2026 Data Center Development ReportStrategic challenges, power constraints, and market tightening dynamics shaping 2026 data center capital needs.
  3. S&P Global Ratings — Data Center Financing PPIF 2026 TakeawaysProject finance benchmarks, ABS issuance trends, and credit rating perspectives on data center debt.
  4. JLL — 2026 Data Center OutlookMarket sizing, hyperscaler leasing trends, $11.3M/MW shell-and-core construction cost benchmark.
  5. Applied Digital — 300 MW Hyperscaler Lease (April 23, 2026)$7.5B / 300 MW / 15-year hyperscaler lease — primary source for $20.8K/MW/month rent benchmark.
  6. DataBank $2B Construction Loan — Red Oak CampusRecent large-scale data center construction loan structuring example for April 2026 market.
  7. BloombergNEF — AI Data Center Build Five Things to KnowAI infrastructure capital expenditure projections through 2030; ~100 GW new capacity build-out.

External links are provided for informational and verification purposes. PeerSense is not affiliated with and does not endorse any third-party site. Information was current at the time of publication.

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Published by PeerSense Capital Advisory · Written by Ed Freeman, Founder. Updated April 2026.

Disclaimer: This deal sizer produces indicative capital stack and debt sizing only. Actual rate, LTV, and tranche sizing depend on tenant credit rating, construction risk, sponsor balance sheet, power-purchase agreement durability, regulatory approvals, and market spreads at the time of rate lock. Rate ranges and assumptions reflect approximate April 2026 private credit, CMBS SASB, and ABS conditions. PeerSense is a capital advisory firm, not a lender. We do not originate, fund, or service loans. All financing is provided by third-party lenders subject to their own underwriting criteria and approval processes. Borrowers should consult qualified financial and legal professionals before making any financing decisions.